Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 2.178089 2.484898 2.821981 3.220217 3.678393 4.189658 4.804316
2025-10-19 1.773763 2.184370 2.673004 3.299038 4.082284 5.033056 6.279608
2025-10-26 1.488233 1.953720 2.546080 3.358961 4.451452 5.877309 7.893069
2025-11-02 1.229038 1.703366 2.342434 3.272634 4.602540 6.451217 9.243344
2025-11-09 1.010530 1.467386 2.113976 3.104522 4.599292 6.795517 10.312502
2025-11-16 0.879425 1.331943 2.001598 3.076417 4.780596 7.415572 11.870454
2025-11-23 0.767229 1.206639 1.883426 3.016310 4.894880 7.937630 13.344154
2025-11-30 0.719386 1.172962 1.898903 3.164325 5.355782 9.069541 15.997530
2025-12-07 0.665330 1.121093 1.876566 3.243372 5.707053 10.060675 18.558890
2025-12-14 0.601766 1.044642 1.802492 3.220875 5.872875 10.743088 20.656036
2025-12-21 0.532763 0.950122 1.685209 3.104097 5.847264 11.065751 22.105124
2025-12-28 0.510775 0.936681 1.709611 3.250242 6.334686 12.423493 25.837954
2026-01-04 0.489915 0.924176 1.736564 3.409696 6.881223 13.999247 30.352033
2026-01-11 0.460032 0.891053 1.720659 3.482669 7.264015 15.301310 34.517551
2026-01-18 0.431450 0.857061 1.698869 3.540436 7.623047 16.607881 38.938459
2026-01-25 0.390616 0.793711 1.610725 3.446295 7.636913 17.155077 41.661234
2026-02-01 0.346704 0.719100 1.490851 3.267333 7.433401 17.173515 43.079361
2026-02-08 0.320752 0.679570 1.440524 3.236939 7.569391 18.009760 46.742188
2026-02-15 0.294749 0.637110 1.379116 3.173140 7.616288 18.636196 49.968439
2026-02-22 0.287964 0.636304 1.409560 3.329118 8.225128 20.763057 57.731784
2026-03-01 0.276204 0.622935 1.409963 3.412422 8.662532 22.517438 64.794858
2026-03-08 0.258229 0.593287 1.369349 3.388627 8.817519 23.543475 69.916428
2026-03-15 0.235693 0.550597 1.293352 3.265384 8.688988 23.771589 72.647248